Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.018948 0.020864 0.022791 0.024869 0.027042 0.029242 0.031636
2025-06-08 0.014870 0.017835 0.020941 0.024414 0.028168 0.032082 0.036452
2025-06-15 0.012693 0.016237 0.020062 0.024447 0.029288 0.034427 0.040257
2025-06-22 0.010754 0.014649 0.018974 0.024045 0.029747 0.035894 0.042957
2025-06-29 0.009006 0.013095 0.017769 0.023367 0.029772 0.036772 0.044906
2025-07-06 0.007358 0.011503 0.016390 0.022376 0.029342 0.037056 0.046118
2025-07-13 0.006634 0.010968 0.016197 0.022705 0.030370 0.038934 0.049067
2025-07-20 0.005762 0.010167 0.015622 0.022532 0.030774 0.040069 0.051148
2025-07-27 0.005000 0.009440 0.015088 0.022362 0.031145 0.041136 0.053125
2025-08-03 0.004686 0.009289 0.015253 0.023025 0.032482 0.043303 0.056343
2025-08-10 0.004036 0.008612 0.014706 0.022779 0.032712 0.044165 0.058051
2025-08-17 0.003437 0.007950 0.014138 0.022474 0.032844 0.044893 0.059585
2025-08-24 0.002900 0.007371 0.013703 0.022388 0.033317 0.046118 0.061815
2025-08-31 0.002317 0.006655 0.013056 0.022023 0.033460 0.046973 0.063652
2025-09-07 0.001927 0.006199 0.012733 0.022049 0.034058 0.048349 0.066078
2025-09-14 0.001488 0.005578 0.012127 0.021668 0.034125 0.049070 0.067717
2025-09-21 0.001062 0.004883 0.011357 0.021027 0.033832 0.049333 0.068797
2025-09-28 0.000665 0.004114 0.010406 0.020089 0.033125 0.049065 0.069221
2025-10-05 0.000538 0.003932 0.010362 0.020400 0.034017 0.050745 0.071964
2025-10-12 0.000368 0.003569 0.009995 0.020236 0.034278 0.051640 0.073758
2025-10-19 0.000236 0.003234 0.009645 0.020076 0.034531 0.052513 0.075519
2025-10-26 0.000199 0.003215 0.009837 0.020703 0.035821 0.054675 0.078834
2025-11-02 0.000105 0.002885 0.009455 0.020470 0.035959 0.055394 0.080397